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Essays

Essays

Background, deep-dive, takeaways — essays here follow the shape of the thinking, not a report template.

Why Your Safety Stock Is Lying to You
Every planner inherits the same textbook formula for safety stock. Almost nobody checks whether their demand actually looks the …
Jul 2, 2026 · 2 min
A Demand Planner's Guide to LLM Evals
Evaluating a prompt change is a forecasting problem in disguise: you need a baseline, a held-out test set, and a way to tell …
Jun 18, 2026 · 2 min
The Join That Broke Procurement
A silent one-to-many join quietly tripled our open-PO totals for two months before anyone noticed the number looked wrong.
May 24, 2026 · 2 min